setup-recap
Whalor Setup Recap: July 28, 2026
8 resolved options setups, 7 profitable outcomes, 88% win rate, and the complete contract-by-contract receipts.
What happened
On July 28, 2026, Whalor tracked 8 resolved setups, achieving an 87.5% win rate with 7 profitable outcomes and 1 loss. Despite the high win rate, the session's one-contract modeled P&L ended at -$350.
The seven profitable setups all successfully reached their standardized profit-take target of +30%. These included three ema_pullback_continuation setups on $QQQ ($669 PUT), $SPY ($736 PUT), and $IWM ($291 PUT). Additionally, two failed_breakout_breakdown_trap setups on $IWM ($293 CALL) and $QQQ ($678 CALL) hit their targets, alongside a vwap_reclaim_rejection setup on $SPY ($738 CALL) and a prior_day_high_low_reclaim_rejection setup on $SPCX ($106 PUT).
The single loss of the day occurred on the $NVDA $190 CALL setup (geometry_pattern_context). This contract was stopped out at -31% after reaching a tracked peak of +23%.
What traders can learn
This session demonstrates how contract pricing and premium sizes affect absolute dollar returns. Even with a high win rate of 87.5%, the dollar-value loss from the single stopped-out $NVDA contract exceeded the cumulative gains of the other seven contracts under a one-contract modeling system.
The data also shows substantial runway beyond the standard profit targets. The average tracked peak across all setups was +65.1%, led by the $SPY $738 CALL, which was the 1 setup that crossed the +100% threshold to reach a peak of +198%. However, these tracked peaks represent the absolute maximum theoretical movement of the contract during the setup and should not be viewed as achievable or realistic exit points for active traders.
What Whalor tracks
Whalor tracks systematic options setups based on precise technical frameworks, including EMA pullbacks, VWAP reclaims, failed breakout traps, and geometric pattern triggers. By monitoring standardized entry signals, stop-out levels, and contract performance, we provide a transparent archive of mathematical outcomes.
We invite you to review every setup and its stock-candle outcome replay in the Whalor app.
Every resolved setup
| Contract | Setup | Outcome | Return | Tracked peak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $NVDA $190 CALL · 2026-09-18 | geometry_pattern_context / 1d_inverse_head_shoulders / 1d_inverse_head_shoulders_trigger | STOPPED OUT | -31% | +23% |
| $SPCX $106 PUT · 2026-07-31 | prior_day_high_low_reclaim_rejection: 15m_level_loss / 5m_breakdown_retest_reject / 1m_retest_low_break | PROFIT TAKEN | +30% | +44% |
| $QQQ $669 PUT · 2026-07-28 | ema_pullback_continuation: 15m_trend_supportive / 5m_21ema_pullback_reject / 1m_pullback_rejection | PROFIT TAKEN | +30% | +55% |
| $SPY $736 PUT · 2026-07-28 | ema_pullback_continuation: 15m_trend_supportive / 5m_21ema_pullback_reject / 1m_pullback_rejection | PROFIT TAKEN | +30% | +39% |
| $IWM $291 PUT · 2026-07-28 | ema_pullback_continuation: 15m_trend_supportive / 5m_21ema_pullback_reject / 1m_pullback_rejection | PROFIT TAKEN | +30% | +63% |
| $SPY $738 CALL · 2026-07-28 | vwap_reclaim_rejection: vwap_reclaimed / 5m_vwap_reclaim / 1m_vwap_reclaim | PROFIT TAKEN | +30% | +198% |
| $IWM $293 CALL · 2026-07-28 | failed_breakout_breakdown_trap: support_trap_reclaim / 5m_failed_breakdown / 1m_failed_breakdown_reclaim | PROFIT TAKEN | +30% | +49% |
| $QQQ $678 CALL · 2026-07-28 | failed_breakout_breakdown_trap: support_trap_reclaim / 5m_failed_breakdown / 1m_failed_breakdown_reclaim | PROFIT TAKEN | +30% | +49% |
Methodology: Modeled P&L assumes one contract per setup. A setup that reached +50% is counted at +50%; otherwise a setup that reached +30% is counted at +30%; all other resolved outcomes use the recorded exit return. Tracked peak is hindsight context, not an assumed exit. Educational only, not financial advice.