setup-recap
Whalor Setup Recap: July 31, 2026
10 resolved options setups, 8 profitable outcomes, 80% win rate, and the complete contract-by-contract receipts.
What happened
On July 31, 2026, Whalor resolved 10 setups, securing an 80.0% win rate with 8 profitable trades and 2 losses. This performance resulted in a modeled one-contract P&L of +$1051, with an average tracked peak of +88.2% across all setups.
Among the successful setups, two reached a +100% return: the $IWM $292 PUT (ema_pullback_continuation setup, which saw a tracked peak of +357%) and the $SPY $746 CALL (double_bottom_reversal setup, which reached a tracked peak of +171%). Other profitable setups included the $AMZN $290 CALL (Daily 200MA Support Bounce) at +70%, the $IWM $290 CALL (vwap_reclaim_rejection) at +50%, and four separate setups ($QQQ $690 CALL, $SPY $741 CALL, $NVDA $195 CALL, and $INTC $90 PUT) that achieved +30% returns.
Conversely, two setups resulted in losses. Both the $QQQ $679 PUT (aligned_gap_fill_reversal) and the $SPY $739 PUT (ema_pullback_continuation) were stopped out, each posting a -65% return.
What traders can learn
Analyzing today's results highlights the distinct performance of different setups. While the $IWM $292 PUT ema_pullback_continuation setup was highly successful (+100% return), the same setup style failed on the $SPY $739 PUT, resulting in a -65% stop out. This underscores that identical technical setups can yield opposing outcomes under different market conditions.
Reclaim and reversal setups showed consistency today. The $SPY $746 CALL double_bottom_reversal hit its +100% target, while the $SPY $741 CALL failed_breakout_breakdown_trap and the $IWM $290 CALL vwap_reclaim_rejection yielded +30% and +50% respectively. Additionally, traders should note that while the average tracked peak was +88.2%, these peaks represent the maximum theoretical move observed during the trade's duration and are not guaranteed or easily achievable exit points.
What Whalor tracks
Whalor tracks systematic options setups to provide clear, data-driven insights. For the July 31, 2026 session, we monitored 10 resolved setups, delivering a modeled P&L of +$1051 on a single-contract basis with an 80.0% win rate.
We invite you to log into the Whalor app to review every setup and see its stock-candle outcome replay.
Every resolved setup
| Contract | Setup | Outcome | Return | Tracked peak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $AMZN $290 CALL · 2027-03-19 | Daily 200MA Support Bounce | HIT TARGET | +70% | +70% |
| $IWM $292 PUT · 2026-07-31 | ema_pullback_continuation: 15m_trend_supportive / 5m_21ema_pullback_reject / 1m_pullback_rejection | PROFIT TAKEN | +100% | +357% |
| $QQQ $679 PUT · 2026-07-31 | aligned_gap_fill_reversal: gap_up_reversing_lower / gap_up_prior_close_rejection / 1m_gap_fill_hold_loss | STOPPED OUT | -65% | +29% |
| $SPY $739 PUT · 2026-07-31 | ema_pullback_continuation: 15m_trend_supportive / 5m_21ema_pullback_reject / 1m_pullback_rejection | STOPPED OUT | -65% | +14% |
| $IWM $290 CALL · 2026-07-31 | vwap_reclaim_rejection: vwap_reclaimed / 5m_vwap_reclaim / 1m_vwap_reclaim | PROFIT TAKEN | +50% | +78% |
| $QQQ $690 CALL · 2026-08-03 | vwap_reclaim_rejection: vwap_reclaim_held / 5m_vwap_reclaim_retest_hold / 1m_vwap_retest_high_break | PROFIT TAKEN | +30% | +42% |
| $SPY $746 CALL · 2026-07-31 | double_bottom_reversal: double_bottom_reversal / 5m_double_bottom_reclaim / 1m_bullish_trigger | PROFIT TAKEN | +100% | +171% |
| $SPY $741 CALL · 2026-08-03 | failed_breakout_breakdown_trap: support_trap_reclaim / 5m_failed_breakdown / 1m_failed_breakdown_reclaim | PROFIT TAKEN | +30% | +49% |
| $NVDA $195 CALL · 2026-08-03 | opening_drive_continuation: opening_drive_continuing_higher / first_5m_drive_up_hold / 1m_opening_drive_high_break | PROFIT TAKEN | +30% | +31% |
| $INTC $90 PUT · 2026-08-03 | midday_range_breakdown_context / 5m_bearish_rectangle / completed_5m_range_support_breakdown | PROFIT TAKEN | +30% | +39% |
Methodology: Modeled P&L assumes one contract per setup. A setup that reached +50% is counted at +50%; otherwise a setup that reached +30% is counted at +30%; all other resolved outcomes use the recorded exit return. Tracked peak is hindsight context, not an assumed exit. Educational only, not financial advice.